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History tells fans to expect goldmine of goals on last day of Prem season
Football fans can expect goals galore on the final day of the Premier League season, according to historical data.
The final round of top-flight matches – gameweek 38 – take place on Sunday with 10 games all kicking off at the same time.
It’s a big day for bookies with all 20 teams in action and the both teams to score (BTTS) accumulator is a popular bet for supporters on the final day as goals fly in at both ends.
And now stats compiled by UK sportsbook Midnite highlight the facts behind the last-day blow out.
Midnite looked at stats since the Premier League became a 20-team division in 1995-96 to compare gameweek 38 with the averages from gameweeks 1 to 37 and found:
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A 14.5% increase in goals per game
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A 10.7% increase games where both teams score
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A 7.3% increase in over 1.5 goals
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A 15.9% increase in over 2.5% goals
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A 30.1% increase in over 3.5 goals
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A 13.3% increase in home wins
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An 18.2% decrease in draws
A 15-year scoring streak
In 24 of the past 29 seasons – 82.8% – gameweek 38 has produced more goals than the average produced in previous gameweeks.
For the past 15 consecutive seasons, there have been more goals per game in the final gameweek than the goals per game stat throughout the season.
And for the past nine seasons, there have been more than three goals per game in gameweek 38.
This season so far, there’s been an average of 2.95 goals per game, so we would expect to see more than that in Gameweek 38.
The historical average tells us to expect a 14.5% increase – therefore a prediction of 3.38 goals per game on Sunday.
Last season saw a record 3.28 goals per game and was the first Premier League season to be higher than 3 goals per game.
In fact the last time we saw a top division of English Football have back-to-back seasons with more than 3 goals per game as an average was the 1966/1967 and 1967/1968 seasons.
We are unlikely to see that again as so far we have 1091 goals, to reach a season average of 3.00 we would need to see a total of 1,140 goals, so 49 goals would be needed on the final day, which would be 4.9 goals per game which would be highly unlikely.
The handbrakes are off
Midnite VP of Sportsbook Zach Amin said: “The last gameweek of the season often has a more open, unpredictable feel to it.
“A mixture of teams playing with the handbrake off and teams desperate for points to win the title, qualify for Europe or avoid relegation, usually makes for great entertainment.
“Although this season, the title and relegation are already sewn up, there’s still teams vying for European places and, as the historical data shows us, fans can look forward to goals galore.”
The post History tells fans to expect goldmine of goals on last day of Prem season appeared first on European Gaming Industry News.

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Golden Boomerang Awards 2025: AC Milan Legend Andrea Pirlo Presented the Awards at the Ceremony at Iconic San Siro Stadium
Boomerang Partners hosted the highly anticipated Golden Boomerang Awards 2025 ceremony at the legendary San Siro Stadium. Over 400 partner teams worldwide participated in this landmark partner tournament, which has become one of the year’s top events in the affiliate marketing industry. It celebrated the brightest achievements in sports and other verticals of traffic performance.
The awards ceremony was attended by none other than Andrea Pirlo, AC Milan Legend and football icon. He personally congratulated the winners and presented the awards on stage, adding prestige and unforgettable energy to the evening.
Andrea Pirlo commented:
“It’s a pleasure to be part of such an exciting event that brings innovation, performance, and community together. My congratulations to all the winners—your hard work truly stands out.”
11 awards were presented in key affiliate marketing categories. Kajino Media won the main award, the Grand Prix, for topping the sports leaderboard.
The owner of Kajino Media shared his joy and emotions: “Golden Boomerang Awards is a great test of our capabilities and expertise. This tournament allows us not only to evaluate our work but also to be recognized on a global level. For us, it’s just a great success to be a participant in this event. I had some expectations that we would win, but I wasn’t sure, to be honest. I’m happy!.”.
The event offered more than just an award ceremony.
Guests enjoyed a VIP experience with exclusive access to the stadium, the Mondo Milan Museum, and the Official AC Milan Store. There, an Italian artist painted a T-shirt individually for all willing event participants. The awards ceremony was accompanied by a show masterfully staged by renowned Italian director and showrunner Gabriele Rizzi, known for his work with top fashion houses and large-scale productions. Guests savored world-class entertainment from top DJs, fashion creatives, and Michelin-starred food.
One of the highlights was a charity auction featuring unique prizes:
- Commemorative watch celebrating the club’s 2003/2004 season victory
- Custom-designed ball with Andrea Pirlo’s autograph
- Exclusive Pirlo lot – premium wine
- T-shirt signed by the team forward, Rafael Leão
All proceeds — totaling 8,000 EUR — were donated to Fondazione Milan to support youth sports development
Benedetto Di Blasi, Fundraising and Digital Communication Officer of Fondazione Milan said: “Thanks to this fundraiser, in the next season 2025/26, Boomerang and its partners will support 27 children, either living with disabilities or in vulnerable environments, giving them the opportunity to play sports in safe and high-quality project spaces.”
The Golden Boomerang Awards 2025 showcased how the worlds of sport, technology, and affiliate innovation continue to converge, with unforgettable moments, legendary guests, and record-breaking results. Boomerang Partners is already starting work on the tournament’s third season, which is rightly becoming an integral part of the industry.
The post Golden Boomerang Awards 2025: AC Milan Legend Andrea Pirlo Presented the Awards at the Ceremony at Iconic San Siro Stadium appeared first on European Gaming Industry News.
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SYNOT Enters the Bulgarian Market
SYNOT Group has successfully realized its first installation of land-based products in Bulgaria. The popular MAGIC BALL LINK jackpot system has been launched at IMPERIA Gaming Clubs in the city of Plovdiv, with three installations (a total of 12 Eclipse FL-32 machines) at three different locations.
“I would like to thank to IMPERIA Gaming Clubs for the trust and the opportunity to show the best performing products of SYNOT to the player’s audience in Bulgaria. I strongly believe that this is the beginning of a fruitful partnership which will grow in time,” said Stanislav Stanev, International Business Development Director of SYNOT Group.
MAGIC BALL LINK is a progressive jackpot system that has already gained popularity in several markets due to its attractiveness and performance. Bulgarian players can now enjoy eight exciting linked games that combine a entertaining gaming experience with the potential for significant winnings. This installation follows shortly after SYNOT Group recently obtained a license for the Bulgarian market, paving the way for further growth and expansion in the region.
“We are happy to welcome SYNOT slot machines on our floors, and we really believe that SYNOT products will supplement our diverse offering to the players and will become an integral part of all our locations,” said Gavril Chetrafilov, Owner of IMPERIA Gaming Clubs.
The post SYNOT Enters the Bulgarian Market appeared first on European Gaming Industry News.
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UKGC Publishes Update on Financial Risk Assessments Pilot
The UK Gambling Commission (UKGC) has published a further update on the ongoing pilot of financial risk assessments.
Written by the Director of Major Policy Projects who is leading the pilot, Helen Rhodes, the update provides information on Stage two of the pilot and the issues being explored in the final stages of the pilot.
“Financial risk assessments are a proposed way of identifying high-spending remote gambling customers who may be in financial difficulties, in order to help support them,” the Commission’s latest update on the finance risk check pilot reads.
“This is not the same as ‘affordability checks’ – the Commission does not have any regulatory requirements for affordability checks and is not proposing any. Financial risk assessments would be a much more targeted way of identifying potentially financially vulnerable customers. They would not affect a customer’s credit score if they were introduced in the future.”
Key Points Covered by the Update
The UKGC says that the pilot has given it a better understanding about the financial risk profile who met the thresholds. These customers were found to be between twice and four times more likely to have a debt management programme than those who didn’t meet the thresholds, and more between twice and five times more likely to have a default in the last 12 months.
The most remarkable is the fact that the data has reinforced the UKGC’s view that the finance risk checks will be as non-intrusive and frictionless as possible. According to the UKGC’s estimations, only 0.1% of customers would be subject to a non-frictionless assessment.
It also says that 95% of assessments carried out in stage one were possible in a frictionless matter, with this figure rising to 97% in stage two, where the total number of risk assessments carried out across three credit reference agencies rose from 860,000 to 1.7 million.
The analysis phase of stage three of the pilot is expected to continue into the summer, after which the UKGC will move into stage four.
NatCen is continuing to work as the UKGC’s evaluation partner on this pilot and post-pilot analysis work.
Director of Major Policy Projects, Helen Rhodes, said: “These further findings from the pilot have helped us understand the extent that assessments could be conducted in a frictionless manner.
“Building on our staged approach to the pilot, we will now further explore data consistency across credit reference agencies, as well as how to support operators to identify the severity of financial difficulties that a customer may be experiencing and how they could support these customers.”
The post UKGC Publishes Update on Financial Risk Assessments Pilot appeared first on European Gaming Industry News.
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